BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Central Arkansas

Class: 1B Class Rank: 14 Conference: Southland Conference Record: (8-1) Overall: (10-3) Overall Strength =  127.18

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/01/2016 Home    W * 139.49  56  13   1B  92 (  4-  7) Houston Baptist        11.37 *   31.63                      
  2 09/10/2016 Home    L   119.44  29  35   1B  18 (  7-  5) Samford                -8.68      2.68                      
  3 09/17/2016 Home    W * 113.07  24  10   1B  85 (  1- 10) Northwestern St       -15.05     29.05                      
  4 09/24/2016 Away    W   141.99  28  23   1A  76 (  8-  5) Arkansas St            13.86     -8.86                      
  5 10/01/2016 Away    W * 135.14  58  27   1B  84 (  2-  9) Abilene Christian       7.02     23.98                      
  6 10/15/2016 Away    W * 153.87  35   0   1B  36 (  6-  5) McNeese St             25.75      9.25                      
  7 10/22/2016 Home    W * 114.39  22  12   1B  73 (  3-  8) Lamar                 -13.73     23.73                      
  8 10/29/2016 Away    W * 149.38  45  10   1B  49 (  7-  4) SE Louisiana           21.26     13.74                      
  9 11/05/2016 Away    W * 126.95  34  14   1B  71 (  5-  6) Stephen F. Austin      -1.18     21.18                      
 10 11/12/2016 Home    W * 120.55  31  24   1B  43 (  5-  6) Nicholls St            -7.57     14.57                      
 11 11/19/2016 Away    L *  94.49  23  59   1B  11 ( 12-  1) Sam Houston St        -33.63     -2.37                      
 12 11/26/2016 Home    W   132.20  31  24   1B  12 (  6-  6) Illinois St             4.08      2.92                      
 13 12/03/2016 Away    L   124.64  14  31   1B   2 ( 12-  2) Eastern Washington     -3.49    -13.51                      
      Averages             128.12  33.1 21.7

Best game:  153.87 = 35 point win over McNeese St
Worst game:  94.49 = 36 point loss to Sam Houston St
Team stdev:  16.32